A no-deal Brexit will cost Harrow £1.6 billion

New research by the LSE's Centre for Economic Performance and the Liberal Democrats has revealed just how damaging a no-deal Brexit will be to Harrow.

A no-deal Brexit will mean an economic hit of £1,640,000,000 to Harrow over the next five years — and Harrow stands to fare worse than most other regions.

David Davis and other members of the cabinet have recently been talking up a no-deal Brexit, but this data shows that Harrow and the country simply couldn't afford it.

If the UK exits the EU in March 2019 without a deal, Britain's economic output (gross value added) in the five years after Brexit would be reduced by 5.3%, or £430 billion.

Even if the UK agreed to a Norway style arrangement with full single market access, this would still result in a reduction to five-year economic output of 2.9%, or £235 billion.

Liberal Democrat Spokesperson ███████████ said:

"These figures are a real indictment of the government's strategy. David Davis is still talking up the possibility of a no-deal Brexit, yet these figures suggest that this would cost Harrow a ruinous £1.6 billion over five years. Even a relatively soft Brexit could cost the area £820 million.

"£1.6 billion works out at over £1300 per year from each Harrow resident — paid in lower wages, lost jobs, higher prices, and worse public services.

"The government must rule out a no-deal. It must end the uncertainty and confirm its commitment to stay in the single market and customs union.

"The study suggests that for Harrow, no-deal would be devastating."

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